Frank Sawyer is on an 18 of 25 (72%) NBA featured plays run -- and he furthers his 47 of 62 (76%) NBA TOTALS TEAR with featured plays with a with tonight's Minnesota-Phoenix O/U winner at 9:40 PM ET!
Top All Sports Totals (+10726) 783-613 L1396 56%
Football Picks (+8421) 1017-847 L1864 55%
NFL Totals (+5362) 283-210 L493 57%
Basketball Totals (+4836) 514-427 L941 55%
NBA Picks (+4780) 203-141 L344 59%
NCAA-B Sides (+3972) 272-211 L483 56%
Top MLB Totals (+3612) 115-73 L188 61%
NCAA-F Sides (+2917) 231-184 L415 56%
NHL Money Lines (+2017) 135-93 L228 59%
PGA Picks (+1759) 66-40 L106 62%
Top NFLX Picks (+1708) 29-11 L40 73%
Soccer Totals (+1194) 75-54 L129 58%
Fighting Picks (+1000) 11-1 L12 92%
Top CFL Picks (+954) 27-16 L43 63%
*This subscription currently includes 2 NBA picks but more may be added during the term of the subscription.
FRANK’S CUTTING ROOM FLOOR FOR SUNDAY, 4/28:
My “Cutting Room Floor” plays are the situations I considered the closest to being worthy of investment but did not make the “final cut” for my official plays today for subscribers. The last play I cut for Sunday night was with the Edmonton Oilers with the money-line versus the Los Angeles Kings. Edmonton (51-27-7) took a 2-1 lead in this best-of-seven series with their 6-1 victory on the road on Friday. The Oilers have won 42 of their last 52 games after not allowing more than one goal in their last game. They have also won 39 of their last 53 road games against fellow Pacific Division rivals. Los Angeles (44-30-11) has lost 7 of their last 9 games at home after a loss by three or more goals. The Kings have also lost 9 of their last 13 opportunities to avenge a loss by three or more goals. Take Edmonton with the money-line. Best of luck — Frank.
Frank Sawyer is on an 18 of 25 (72%) NBA run with featured 25*/20*/10* plays after DELIVERING their 25* NBA Saturday ABC-TV Game of the Month on the LA Lakers last night to continue their 27 of 40 (68%) All-Sports run with featured plays! Frank enjoys longer-running 33 of 49 (67%) and 86 of 134 (64%) NBA featured play runs — and now he furthers his 47 of 62 (76%) NBA TOTALS TEAR with featured plays with tonight’s Minnesota-Phoenix O/U winner on TNT at 9:40 PM ET! Want ONE MORE WINNER for Sunday? BANK on Frank!
Match Up | Pick | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Diamondbacks vs Mariners | Mariners -142 | Premium | 1-3 | Win | 100 | Show |
Nuggets vs Lakers | UNDER 218½ -115 | Premium | 108-119 | Loss | -115 | Show |
Stars vs Golden Knights | Golden Knights +103 | Free | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | Show |
Nuggets vs Lakers | Lakers +4 -110 | Top Premium | 108-119 | Win | 100 | Show |
Cavs vs Magic | OVER 201½ -110 | Free | 89-112 | Loss | -110 | Show |
Cavs vs Magic | Cavs +2½ -110 | Premium | 89-112 | Loss | -110 | Show |
At 7:10 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the Indiana Pacers (553) minus the points versus the Milwaukee Bucks (553) in Game Four of their Eastern Conference Quarterfinals series. THE SITUATION: Indiana (49-37) has won six of their last eight games after their 121-118 win in overtime as a 6.5-point favorite on Friday. Milwaukee (50-35) lost for the fourth time in their last five games and now trails in this series by a 2-1 margin.
REASONS TO TAKE THE PACERS MINUS THE POINTS: The Bucks will be without Damian Lillard tonight after he first twisted his ankle in Game Three before later wrenching his Achilles in the fourth quarter. While Lillard declared that he expected to play after the game, he was in a walking boot yesterday and was listed as doubtful. Milwaukee does not want to risk Lillard aggravating that injury the way Golden State did with Kevin Durant a few years ago. The team is already without Giannis Antetokounmpo who is doubtful to return from his calf injury. Khris Middleton stepped up with 42 points on Friday — but now he is being asked to carry the team on offense which is not his strength. Lillard scored 28 points in Game Three. As it is, the Bucks have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 8 games after a loss to a Central Division rival — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 14 of their last 22 games after a straight-up loss on the road. They stay on the road where they have failed to cover the point spread in 20 of their last 28 games on the road as an underdog. Indiana has covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after a straight-up win where they did not cover the point spread — and they have covered the point spread in 27 of their last 38 games after a point spread loss. They have also covered the point spread in 29 of their last 44 games when playing for the second time in five days.
FINAL TAKE: The Bucks have failed to cover the point spread in 16 of their last 25 games as an underdog getting 3.5 to 9.5 points. 8* NBA Milwaukee-Indiana TNT Special with the Indiana Pacers (553) minus the points versus the Milwaukee Bucks (553). Best of luck for us — Frank.
At 1:40 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the money-line on the Detroit Tigers (962) versus the Kansas City Royals (961) listing both starting pitchers Tarik Skubal and Michael Wacha. THE SITUATION: Detroit (15-12) snapped a two-game losing streak with their 6-5 victory against the Royals in the second game of their three-game series on Saturday. Kansas City (17-11) had won four games in a row before the loss.
REASONS TO TAKE THE TIGERS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: The Royals had a 3-1 lead going into the bottom of the seventh inning yesterday — but their bullpen surrounded five runs in that inning to blow that save opportunity. Kansas City has lost 27 of their last 36 games after their bullpen blew a save. They have also lost 8 of their last 9 games after a one-run loss to an AL Central rival — and they have lost 18 of their last 20 games on the road after winning two of their last three games. And in their last 32 games on the road with the Total set in the 7-7.5 range, they have lost 25 of those games. Wacha gets the ball this afternoon looking to build on his 1-2 record with a 3.81 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP in five starts. He has been more effective at home where he has a 1.59 ERA, a 1.24 WHIP, and an opponent’s batting average of .244 in two starts as opposed to his 5.29 ERA, a 1.29 WHIP, and an opponent’s batting average of .266 in his three starts on the road. Granted, the sample size is still small — but it is consistent with his numbers last season with San Diego. In his 14 starts in the spacious Petco Park, he enjoyed a 2.62 ERA — that mark rose to a 4.14 ERA in his 10 starts on the road. Wacha’s teams have lost 5 of their last 7 road games when he is the starting pitcher priced as a money-line underdog in the +125 to +175 price range. Furthermore, while he had a 3.22 ERA in his 24 starts last year, both his SIERA and xFIP projected an ERA of 4.43 and 4.47. I am leaning in to expected ERA (xERA) more this season as I am impressed with Statcast’s incorporation of hard-hit rate and exit velocity — and Wacha’s xERA last season was 4.27. He faces one of the biggest breakout stars in the game in Skubal. The left-hander comes off six shutout innings against Tampa Bay on Monday. He has a 3-0 record this season with a 1.82 ERA and a 0.74 WHIP in 29 2/3 innings. He has punched out 35 batters while only issuing five bases-on-balls — and he is striking out 31.2% of the batters he has faced. This start continues the great run he was on last year coming back from a midseason injury. Since the beginning of September through this month, Skubal has a 7-0 record with a 1.35 ERA. Last season, he had a 2.80 ERA with a 0.90 WHIP in 15 starts — and those numbers were validated by a 2.77 SIERA and a 2.56 xFIP along with an xERA of 2.30. In his eight starts at home last year, he sported a 1.37 ERA with a 0.79 WHIP and a .171 opponent batting average. This season, Skubal has a 2.56 SIERA and a 2.54 xFIP — and his xERA is 2.13. We can live with regression to those numbers from his current 1.82 ERA. The Tigers have won 6 of their last 8 games at home with Skubal pitching with the Total set in the 7-7.5 range. He should thrive once again against this Royals team that is scoring only 3.4 Runs-Per-Game in their last seven games with a .223 batting average, a .272 on-base percentage, and an OPS of .595.
FINAL TAKE: Manager A.J. Hinch makes sure his team is ready to play against divisional foes as Detroit has won 43 of their last 64 games against AL Central rivals. 25* MLB American League Central Game of the Month with the money-line on the Detroit Tigers (962) versus the Kansas City Royals (961) listing both starting pitchers Tarik Skubal and Michael Wacha. Best of luck for us — Frank.
At 7:10 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Milwaukee Bucks (553) and the Indiana Pacers (553) in Game Four of their Eastern Conference Quarterfinals series. THE SITUATION: Milwaukee (50-35) lost for the fourth time in their last five games in a 121-118 loss in overtime as a 6.5-point underdog on Friday. Indiana (49-37) has won six of their last eight games while taking a 2-1 lead in this series.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Bucks will likely be without Damian Lillard tonight after he first twisted his ankle in Game Three before later wrenching his Achilles in the fourth quarter. While Lillard declared that he expected to play after the game, he was in a walking boot yesterday and was listed as doubtful. Milwaukee probably does not want to risk Lillard aggravating that injury the way Golden State did with Kevin Durant a few years ago. The team is already without Giannis Antetokounmpo who is doubtful to return from his calf injury. Even if one (or both) of these players take the court, neither is likely to be close to 100%. Khris Middleton stepped up with 42 points on Friday — but now he is being asked to carry the team on offense which is not his strength. Lillard scored 28 points in Game Three. With Lillard out, head coach Doc Rivers will likely turn to Malik Beasley who is an improvement on the defensive end of the court. Beasley’s size makes him an interesting choice to defend Tyrese Haliburton — and that would allow for their top defender Patrick Beverley to clamp down on Andrew Nembhard. One thing that seems certain is that Rivers will continue to do everything he can to get this game into “mud” as he declared before the series started. After the 97 mutual possessions (adjusted possessions per 48 minutes) in Game One, there were 92.5 possessions in Game Two before just the 89.2 adjusted possession rate in Game Three which includes the pace in overtime. That game went into overtime with the score tied at 111 — helped by Lillard’s 28 points. The Bucks have played 29 of their last 44 games Under the Total on the road after a point-spread loss. They have also played 8 of their last 12 games Under the Total after losing two games in a row — and they have played 10 of their last 15 games Under the Total on the road as an underdog. They have also played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total as an underdog getting 3.5 to 9.5 points. Indiana only made 13 of their 49 shots from behind the arc for a 27% shooting percentage. Tyrese Halliburton does not appear to be at 100% as he recovers from the injuries that slowed him down during the regular season — he missed 11 of his 12 shots from downtown. The Pacers' bench scoring production is down as well. After leading the NBA by getting 46.8 Points-Per-Game from their bench in the regular season, the second unit is only scoring 23.3 PPG in this series, down -23.5 PPG. Indiana has played 4 of their 6 games this season Under the Total after a win by three points or less — and they have played 42 of their last 63 home games Under the Total after a straight-up win where they did not cover the point spread as the favorite. They have played 14 of their last 23 games Under the Total after winning six or seven of their last eight games. And in their last 8 games when playing for no more than the fifth time in 14 days, they have played 5 of these games Under the Total.
FINAL TAKE: The Bucks have played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total when avenging a loss of three points or less — and they have played 22 of their last 32 games Under the Total when playing with double revenge including six of those last nine circumstances. 25* NBA Central Division Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Milwaukee Bucks (553) and the Indiana Pacers (553). Best of luck for us — Frank.
Frank Sawyer offers unmatched handicapping analysis over a diverse array of sports for his Hollywood Sports clients. Frank combines his over twenty years of experience as a professional sports handicapper with the drive to outwork his competition. Why invest in a sports service? Frank answers that question with a proven methodology. His model for success starts by investing a significant amount of time analyzing each team in the sports he handicaps to serve as a foundation for that season. Frank then combines his team assessments with empirical situational handicapping angles along with the latest in cutting edge analytics to identify value in the betting line. Decades of handicapping experience along with his unrelenting focus are the qualities that Frank offers his clients. Frank produces extensive reports that detail his decisions. He does this for two reasons: (1) clients deserve to see the work that goes into a conclusion and (2) Frank’s attention to detail within these reports validates to his clients that he continues to work tirelessly to unearth winning angles. With that ambition in mind, Frank has expanded his areas of interest and scrutiny to include the English Premier League, the PGA Tour, the WNBA, and UFC/Boxing in recent years to go along with the major four sports of football, basketball, baseball, and hockey along with the Canadian Football League, Horse Racing, and World Cup Soccer that he has specialized in since he began Hollywood Sports in 1997. Frank believes long-term success involves not only continuing to dig deeper into the sports that he covers but also in expanding his horizons with new events that can provide additional tools in his handicapping toolbox with the goal of rewarding his clients for their loyalty over the years.
Frank uses a rating an 8*, 10*, 20*, 25* rating system that also serves a guide for money management: 10* plays warrant a standard bet (and 8* plays warrant 80% of a standard bet); 20* plays should see a doubling of that standard bet; 25* plays are Frank’s highest-rated play with the recommendation to invest 2.5 times the standard bet. For Frank’s futures reports or for events with odds such as PGA events or horse races, Frank usually offers three recommendations in his betting report: his Best Bet for the event; his Top Overlay Bet which presents his best value play relative to the odds for the event: and his Long Shot Bet for a big underdog offer value with its potential big payout. Frank’s signature play his “A-List* release which is reserved for rare and elite betting opportunities.
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